National Board of Review and New York Film Critics Predictions: Netflix and ‘Licorice Pizza’ Could Dominate

the Machines" (Netflix) Animated Film: "The Mitchells vs.
Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee, "The Power of the Dog" (Netflix)
Best Cinematography
"The Last Duel" (20th Century Studios)
Non-Fiction Film: "Faya Dayi" (Janus Films)
Alternate: Peter Dinklage, "Cyrano" (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Best Original Song
Best Supporting Actor
Best Production Design
Foreign Language Film: "Drive My Car" (Sideshow/Janus Films)
"Dune" (Warner Bros)
Alternate: "The Power of the Dog" (Netflix) – Jane Campion
"El Planeta" (Utopia)
"King Richard" (Warner Bros)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Alternate: "Drive My Car" (Japan)
"The Lost Daughter" (Netflix)
Alternate: Olivia Colman, "The Lost Daughter" (Netflix)
Alternate: "The Worst Person in the World" (Neon)
National Board of Review:
Alternate: Colman Domingo, "Zola" (A24)
Actor: Simon Rex, "Red Rocket" (A24)
Best Ensemble: "The Harder They Fall" (Netflix)
Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, "CODA" (Apple Original Films)
Top Independent Films: 
Best Original Screenplay
Best Animated Feature
Alternate: J.K. Simmons, "Being the Ricardos" (Amazon)
"Flee" (Neon)
New York Film Critics Circle:
"Shiva Baby" (Utopia)
Cinematography: "The Power of the Dog" (Netflix) – Ari Wegner
Actress: Kristen Stewart, "Spencer" (Neon/Topic Studios)
Original Screenplay: "Licorice Pizza" (MGM/United Artists Releasing) – Paul Thomas Anderson
Best Documentary Feature
Best Film: "Licorice Pizza" (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
2022 Academy Awards Predictions
"Wild Indian" (Vertical Entertainment)
Best Original Score
Alternate: "Nightmare Alley" (Searchlight Pictures) – Dan Laustsen
"The Green Knight" (A24)
Best Visual Effects
Actress: Lady Gaga, "House of Gucci" (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
"Cruella" (Walt Disney Pictures)
"Titane" (Neon)
Alternate: "Don't Look Up" (Netflix)
So what will be their darling this year?
Top Documentaries: 
Screenplay: "Licorice Pizza" (MGM/United Artists Releasing) – Paul Thomas Anderson
Down below are the predictions for the two critical groups in all of their categories:
"Passing" (Netflix)
Alternate: "Don't Look Up" (Netflix)
"The Velvet Underground" (Apple Original Films)
Alternate: Alana Haim, "Licorice Pizza" (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
Alternate: Blerta Basholli, "Hive" (Zeitgeist Films)
Alternate: "West Side Story" (20th Century Studios)
Breakthrough Performance: Rachel Zegler, "West Side Story" (20th Century Studios)
This bodes well for two Netflix features, "The Power of the Dog" from Jane Campion and "The Lost Daughter" from Maggie Gyllenhaal. NYFCC loves deep and rich narratives (i.e., Todd Haynes' "Carol") and rarely falls for the presumed Academy frontrunner, shown by matching them once in the last decade (i.e., Michel Hazanavicius' "The Artist").
Best Supporting Actress
Best Costume Design
Director: Denis Villeneuve, "Dune" (Warner Bros)
Supporting Actress: Aunjanue Ellis, "King Richard" (Warner Bros)
Best First Film: Maggie Gyllenhaal, "The Lost Daughter" (Netflix)
"Nightmare Alley" (Searchlight Pictures)
Best Documentary: "The Rescue" (National Geographic)
After a pandemic year that brought unclear frontrunners and differing eligibility calendars, the two groups, in addition to Los Angeles Film Critics Association, which will announce on Dec. In the case of the latter two, it was the first time in their histories that their selection for best film failed to get a single Oscar nom. 12, all are coming off a year where their top film picks failed to garner nearly any Oscar love – "Da 5 Bloods" (NBR), "First Cow" (NYFCC) and "Small Axe" (LAFCA).
The lead acting categories, filled with movie stars like Andrew Garfield from "Tick, Tick … Boom!" and Kristen Stewart from "Spencer" are hoping for strong kickoffs, not just for campaign purposes but for Oscar ratings as well. This could be a strong launch for Denis Villeneuve because "Dune" has still been building serious momentum over the past few weeks. The National Board of Review has typically fallen hard for Warner Bros and Clint Eastwood movies (don't think they'll be going for "Cry Macho" but a top 10 showing is not out of the question).
Best Film: “The Power of the Dog" (Netflix)
Alternate: Penélope Cruz, "Parallel Mothers" (Sony Pictures Classics)
"The Card Counter" (Focus Features)
"Procession" (Netflix)
Alternate: Ruth Negga, "Passing" (Netflix)
Supporting Actress: Rita Moreno, "West Side Story" (20th Century Studios)
Best Actress
"A Hero" (Amazon Studios)
Director: Jane Campion, "The Power of the Dog"
Top 10 Films (in alphabetical order): 
Best Director
NBR Freedom of Expression: "Passing" (Netflix)
Best Directorial Debut: Maggie Gyllenhaal, "The Lost Daughter" (Netflix)
Best Actor
Best Film Editing
Alternate: "West Side Story" (20th Century Studios)
"CODA" (Apple Original Films)
For example, before "The Shape of Water" won best picture, but it was absent from NBR's top ten list was omitted from multiple groups, leaving many to believe it was DOA for the Academy. Pundits can also be fooled into thinking actors like Regina Hall ("Support the Girls") and Rachel Weisz ("The Deep Blue Sea") are in the race before being ignored everywhere else. The early days of the precursors can be misleading. I'm suspecting presumed Oscar frontrunner "Belfast" from Kenneth Branagh will be absent from the two bodies this week, which will certainly spark some discussion with some headlines asking, "Is it dead?" Spoiler alert, it is not. None of the "The Lord of the Rings" films ever made a respective top 10 list either.
Russell, which they viewed the day before voting. The group has also been influenced by their most recent screenings, proven by their 2013 pick of "American Hustle" from David O. That could be helpful for Steven Spielberg's "West Side Story" and Guillermo del Toro's "Nightmare Alley," which both right before the deadline.
No more pencils, no more books… it's time for the critics' awards' dirty looks.
"West Side Story" (20th Century Studios)
Alternate: Ann Dowd, "Mass" (Bleecker Street)
Actor: Andrew Garfield, "Tick, Tick … Boom!" (Netflix)
"Parallel Mothers" (Sony Pictures Classics)
Alternate: "The Tragedy of Macbeth" (Apple Original Films/A24) – Joel Coen
Alternate: "Flee" (Neon)
Alternate: "C'mon C'mon" (A24) – Mike Mills
Best International Feature” />
Alternate: "Flee" (Neon)
The first of the two most vital precursors of the awards season will be handed out – National Board of Review on Thursday followed by New York Film Critics on Friday.
"C'mon C'mon" (A24)
the Machines" (Netflix) Animated: "The Mitchells vs.
"The Harder They Fall" (Netflix)
Best Foreign Language Film: "Flee" (Denmark)
Alternate: "The First Wave" (Neon)
"The Worst Person in the World" (Neon)
"The Killing of Kenneth Chamberlain" (Gravitas Ventures)
Alternate: "Luca" (Pixar)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Alternate: Jeymes Samuel, "The Harder They Fall" (Netflix)
Alternate: Nicolas Cage, "Pig" (Neon)
Top Foreign Films: 
Best Picture
Adapted Screenplay: "The Power of the Dog" (Netflix) – Jane Campion
It'll be interesting to see if one of the groups goes for the charms of Rita Moreno from "West Side Story" as well. Some races are aching for clarity, like supporting actor, which is still devoid of an agreed-upon frontrunner even though the "Belfast" men, Jamie Dornan and Ciaran Hinds, could easily fill that space. Supporting actress is the most competitive acting race, bringing 20 women to the table, but this could be a moment for Kirsten Dunst ("The Power of the Dog") or Aunjanue Ellis ("King Richard") to assert their places.
"Stillwater" (Focus Features)
Best Sound
Alternate: Jane Campion, "The Power of the Dog" (Netflix)
Alternate: Paul Thomas Anderson, "Licorice Pizza" (MGM/United Artists Releasing)
"The First Wave" (Neon)
"Val" (Amazon Studios)
Lady Gaga's work in "House of Gucci" is very much on the table — considering NBR rewarded her for "A Star is Born," they should have no qualms about revisiting the well.
"Test Pattern" (Kino Lorber)

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